Bitcoin’s Rally Isn’t the Bull Market
- Bitcoin’s rally is driven by institutional ETF investments, not economic stimulus, and the broader bull market has not started.
- A true bull market may begin when the Federal Reserve signals monetary easing, making this a key accumulation phase.
The cryptocurrency market saw a major Bitcoin price increase in 2023 through institutional investments rather than standard quantitative easing methods, interest rate reductions, or banking liquidity increases. This Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) institutional entry is the fundamental reason behind this market expansion. The price hike shows no indications of establishing a full-scale bull market that targets the altcoin sector.
Why This Bitcoin Rally Differs from Past Bull Markets
The value increase in Bitcoin emerged from large financial institutions using digital assets to build their Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) portfolios. The surge of this market stems from institutional investors conducting continuous buyouts, whereas earlier cycles depended on retail speculation and excess liquidity. The current Bitcoin market is driven by genuine demand without outside economic incentives.
The market sentiment among retail investors stays reserved, but institutional investors keep up their buying patterns. The current stage represents an essential time period for investors who want opportunities from upcoming market expansion. Long bull market trends in cryptocurrency values usually correspond with Federal Reserve-led changes in macroeconomic policies.
Market conditions emerge from the direct influence of the Federal Reserve. No present indicators suggest an upcoming modification in monetary policy. The lack of fresh liquidity has maintained a negative overall market mood. A genuine bull market will manifest following the Federal Reserve stopping quantitative tightening operations and displaying signs of lowering interest rates.
During pre-stimulation, investors find their biggest chance because fear, doubt, and uncertainty (FUD) control market attitudes. Theory suggests that stock returns become substantially higher after the end of monetary easing when investors have built up positions through accumulation during money easing periods. Exiting quantitative easing should happen at the final stage of the cycle rather than take place at present levels.
Why Bitcoin Dropped After Its Post-Election Rally
As reported earlier by CNF, a temporary Bitcoin market rise occurred on November 4 due to political factors, which traders called a “Trump pump.” The price increase led exchanges to perform large-scale exchange-driven selling that paid regulatory penalties and discharged existing debts. Market prices returned to their pre-November 4 status after the sell-off by exchanges and the subsequent participation of retail investors moving in a downward direction.
Participants focus on the upcoming market milestone, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on March 19. Based on what was stated and the overall tone of this particular meeting, the market direction and investor sentiment might experience major shifts. Strategic market positioning is essential during the accumulation phase because the market remains favorable for investors who get ahead of confirmed monetary policy changes.
Bitcoin’s ongoing surge indicates increasing adoption by institutional investors, though the general cryptocurrency upswing has not started. Digital asset market participants must carefully observe Federal Reserve decisions and other economic policies because these factors will control the next stage of digital asset expansion.
